TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK BATE Barysaŭ and AF Elbasani, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK BATE Barysaŭ vs. AF Elbasani match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK BATE Barysaŭ and AF Elbasani, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK BATE Barysaŭ vs. AF Elbasani match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs in real time. This market may show sharper or more reactive pricing than traditional sportsbooks, especially as match day approaches and new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal value opportunities; if this market's odds for a particular scoreline significantly underestimate or overestimate the true probability relative to sportsbook pricing, traders may exploit that gap.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker and order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level, updating continuously as new orders flow in. Liquidity pools and individual limit orders determine the spread and depth available at any moment, so tighter spreads indicate higher confidence or more active trading around certain scorelines.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that shift perceived strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all influence trader expectations of the likely scoreline. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into specific outcomes may also signal informed conviction, prompting broader market repricing. As kick-off approaches, this market typically tightens around the most probable scorelines while tail outcomes remain less liquid, reflecting reduced uncertainty.