TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 5:46 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between FK Baltika Kaliningrad and FK Dinamo Moskva, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Baltika Kaliningrad" if FK Baltika Kaliningrad score more goals than FK Dinamo Moskva in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Baltika Kaliningrad and FK Dinamo Moskva score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Dinamo Moskva" if FK Dinamo Moskva score more goals than FK Baltika Kaliningrad in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between FK Baltika Kaliningrad and FK Dinamo Moskva, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Baltika Kaliningrad" if FK Baltika Kaliningrad score more goals than FK Dinamo Moskva in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Baltika Kaliningrad and FK Dinamo Moskva score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Dinamo Moskva" if FK Dinamo Moskva score more goals than FK Baltika Kaliningrad in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. In this market, prediction market participants may price the second-half result differently than traditional sportsbooks, especially if one venue attracts more informed or specialized traders. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views exist, though both should be evaluated on their own merits rather than treated as interchangeable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares representing each possible second-half outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative trading activity and the current balance of capital allocated to that side. As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism. This design encourages participation from both confident and uncertain traders, since the cost to enter or exit a position changes dynamically based on market depth and recent trades.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the second half of the match is complete and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect whether the second half ended in a win for one team, a draw, or another specified result. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information and match developments influence their expectations. Resolution is final once the official result is confirmed, at which point payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before Aug 1, 2026. Team news—such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers significant repricing. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or media outlets may sway trader sentiment, especially if it highlights a factor previously overlooked. Betting patterns from sharp bettors or large trades on other platforms can also influence perception. Additionally, any official statements from either club, weather conditions on match day, or late-breaking developments in the lead-up to kickoff could prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids accordingly.