TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 6:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Austria Wien and FK Liepāja, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Austria Wien vs. FK Liepāja match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Austria Wien and FK Liepāja, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Austria Wien vs. FK Liepāja match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader conviction and real-money risk. For exact score markets, prediction traders may incorporate deeper statistical analysis or live sentiment shifts that sportsbooks adjust more slowly. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue undervalues or overvalues a particular scoreline, though both should converge toward the true result as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds in real time as traders buy and sell shares for each exact score outcome. Each scoreline is represented as a separate contract, and the platform calculates implied probabilities from the current order book depth and recent trade history. Traders profit by correctly predicting which final score will occur, and the market price reflects the aggregate belief of all active participants. As match conditions change—team lineups, weather, or momentum shifts—the pricing adjusts to reflect updated expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the official result verified against credible public sources covering the fixture. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of full-time, pending confirmation from the relevant football authority or widely recognized sports data provider.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before kickoff and during the match. Pre-game announcements—confirmed lineups, injury updates, or tactical changes—often trigger repricing as traders reassess scoring likelihood. Early match events like an opening goal, red card, or penalty can dramatically alter probabilities for various scorelines. Weather conditions, home-field advantage sentiment, and recent form of both sides also influence trader positioning. Live trading during the match allows prices to react instantly to unfolding play, making this market highly dynamic from team news through final whistle.