TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 4:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Žalgiris Vilnius and SK Dinamo Tbilisi, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Žalgiris Vilnius" if FK Žalgiris Vilnius score more goals than SK Dinamo Tbilisi in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Žalgiris Vilnius and SK Dinamo Tbilisi score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Dinamo Tbilisi" if SK Dinamo Tbilisi score more goals than FK Žalgiris Vilnius in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Žalgiris Vilnius and SK Dinamo Tbilisi, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Žalgiris Vilnius" if FK Žalgiris Vilnius score more goals than SK Dinamo Tbilisi in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Žalgiris Vilnius and SK Dinamo Tbilisi score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Dinamo Tbilisi" if SK Dinamo Tbilisi score more goals than FK Žalgiris Vilnius in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, particularly if one venue attracts sharper or more specialized bettors. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views exist.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Participants buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible outcome, and the platform's algorithm adjusts prices based on order flow and available liquidity. As traders accumulate positions, the implied probability of each result shifts continuously. The top outcome currently reflects market sentiment, though prices can move sharply as new information emerges or the match draws closer.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score or result during the second half period only, independent of the first half. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout automatically after resolution is confirmed. Until that point, prices remain fluid and reflect ongoing uncertainty.
Several factors can shift odds before the match begins and during the first half. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp repricing. Early first-half momentum, goals, or red cards can influence expectations for the second half significantly. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may also prompt trader repositioning. As kickoff approaches, volume typically increases and volatility can spike, especially if one team is favored or if unexpected developments emerge in the hours before play.