TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Žalgiris Vilnius and OFK Petrovac, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Žalgiris Vilnius" if FK Žalgiris Vilnius score more goals than OFK Petrovac in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Žalgiris Vilnius and OFK Petrovac score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "OFK Petrovac" if OFK Petrovac score more goals than FK Žalgiris Vilnius in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Žalgiris Vilnius and OFK Petrovac, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Žalgiris Vilnius" if FK Žalgiris Vilnius score more goals than OFK Petrovac in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Žalgiris Vilnius and OFK Petrovac score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "OFK Petrovac" if OFK Petrovac score more goals than FK Žalgiris Vilnius in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on which venue attracts sharper or more casual participants. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where contrarian opportunities might exist, though each reflects genuine market-clearing prices in its own ecosystem.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), representing the collective probability estimate. As more traders back one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls, creating a self-balancing mechanism. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects liquidity and uncertainty; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and deeper order books.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the second-half result of the match is final and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official score or result recorded during the second half only, independent of the first-half scoreline. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match concludes and the result is confirmed by the relevant sports authority or widely reported by established sports media. Traders should monitor official match updates to anticipate the resolution timing.
Several catalysts can shift odds before the match begins and during the first half. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers repricing. Early first-half performance, including goals, red cards, or momentum shifts, can dramatically reshape second-half expectations. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and betting-market activity on external sportsbooks may also influence trader sentiment. As kickoff approaches, liquidity typically increases, allowing larger trades to move prices more easily. Monitor official team communications and live match commentary for the most impactful signals.