TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:01 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between FK Akron Tolyatti and FK Rubin Kazan, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Akron Tolyatti" if FK Akron Tolyatti score more goals than FK Rubin Kazan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Akron Tolyatti and FK Rubin Kazan score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Rubin Kazan" if FK Rubin Kazan score more goals than FK Akron Tolyatti in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between FK Akron Tolyatti and FK Rubin Kazan, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Akron Tolyatti" if FK Akron Tolyatti score more goals than FK Rubin Kazan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Akron Tolyatti and FK Rubin Kazan score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Rubin Kazan" if FK Rubin Kazan score more goals than FK Akron Tolyatti in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show materially different probabilities than conventional sports betting venues, particularly as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Polymarket sees value relative to established betting markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders, with each transaction moving the odds incrementally. Traders buy or sell shares corresponding to each outcome, and the market price—expressed as a percentage—represents the crowd's consensus probability of that outcome occurring in the second half.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and events that occur during the second half only, independent of first-half play. Resolution typically follows within hours of the final whistle, after official match records are confirmed and any relevant data is published by the league or authoritative sports databases.
Several factors may shift odds before the match begins or during live play. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—can alter perceived second-half strength. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates may also influence trader positioning. Once the first half concludes, the actual scoreline and momentum will likely trigger significant repricing, as traders reassess the probability of each outcome based on observed play. Late-breaking developments or betting-market activity on other venues can accelerate moves as well.