TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which tall ship will win the 2026 Five Sisters Cup Tall Ship Race, a prestigious international sailing competition among historic vessels. On Kalshi, USCG Eagle has a 33.0% probability of winning, while Gorch Fock stands at 32.0%. The market will resolve based on the official race results from the competition. Watch for the race outcome on July 9, 2026, when the four competing vessels—USCG Eagle, Sagres, Mircea, and Gorch Fock—cross the finish line.
Each market resolves to Yes if the corresponding tall ship wins the 2026 Five Sisters Cup Tall Ship Race. If the event is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled event finishes within two weeks. If the event is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, markets resolve to a fair price for each vessel in accordance with exchange rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically build in a vigorish and adjust odds to balance liability, whereas prediction markets aggregate distributed forecasts from many participants. For the Five Sisters Cup, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook offerings can reveal where the crowd sees value or where professional oddsmakers disagree with retail consensus. These differences highlight unique insights each venue provides about the race outcome.
The Five Sisters Cup Tall Ship Race Winner market is scheduled to resolve on Jul 9, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official race results and the identity of the vessel that crosses the finish line first under the event's governing rules. The market will settle once the race concludes and the winner is officially confirmed by race organizers. Traders should monitor official Five Sisters Cup communications and race updates as the event date approaches to stay informed of any schedule changes or procedural details.
Several factors could shift Five Sisters Cup odds before Jul 9, 2026. Vessel maintenance updates, crew roster announcements, and pre-race trials revealing performance improvements or setbacks often trigger price moves. Weather forecasts closer to race day—particularly wind patterns and sea conditions—significantly influence perceived advantage. Injury or crew changes aboard leading contenders can reshape probabilities quickly. Media coverage highlighting a particular vessel's preparation or historical performance may attract new trader interest. Official race briefings and any rule clarifications issued by organizers can also catalyze market repricing as participants refine their forecasts.