TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 7:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns the outcome of a Rainbow Six Siege match between Five Fears and For Fun Esports scheduled for July 3, 2026, as part of the North America League Stage 1 2026 competition. The match will determine which team advances or earns points in the league standings.
Resolution is determined by the winner of the Five Fears vs. For Fun Esports Rainbow Six Siege match scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT during North America League Stage 1 2026. The market resolves to Yes if either Five Fears or For Fun Esports wins the match. The match outcome is final as played on the scheduled date and time.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially if professional bettors and casual traders on the platform have different views on team strength or match dynamics than oddsmakers do.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of participants; as new evidence or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, and the market price moves accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures that the odds you see always represent the latest consensus among active traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the competition between the two teams. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information becomes available and expectations shift.
Several factors could shift odds significantly before resolution. Roster announcements, player injuries, or lineup changes for either team would likely trigger sharp moves. Recent tournament results, scrim performances, or public statements from coaches and players often influence trader sentiment. Patch updates or balance changes in the underlying game can also reshape expectations about team matchups. Media coverage and analyst commentary may sway casual traders, while professional bettors might react to subtle strategic shifts or historical head-to-head trends.