TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:46 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Serie A match between Fiorentina and Napoli. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, reflecting expectations about the match's offensive intensity.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored by both teams in the Fiorentina vs Napoli professional Serie A soccer game scheduled for September 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. Any market requiring a specific threshold of goals (e.g., over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.) resolves to 'Yes' if the actual total goals meet or exceed that threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as more information is incorporated. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within each venue. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and events that might cause slower movement in sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total goal counts for the Fiorentina vs Napoli match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge, providing a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each possible result. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if a specific goal total is achieved.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be the total number of goals scored in the Fiorentina vs Napoli match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities. The market will settle to 100 for the correct goal total, and 0 for all other possibilities. Resolution will occur promptly after the match concludes and the official result is available, ensuring timely payouts for all traders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Fiorentina or Napoli would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected goal total. Late-breaking team news, tactical announcements from the managers, or even public sentiment shifts based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.