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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the volleyball match between Finland and Slovenia in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 26 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Finland" if Finland wins the match. It will resolve to "Slovenia" if Slovenia wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.
This market refers to the volleyball match between Finland and Slovenia in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 26 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Finland" if Finland wins the match. It will resolve to "Slovenia" if Slovenia wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one outcome, this market might show a more nuanced view, particularly if traders have access to specialized knowledge or data. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the potential result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of those trading shares.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Finland vs. Slovenia match as reported by official sports authorities. The specific outcome that determines settlement will be the final result of the match, including any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially verified and reported, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could cause the odds to shift. Weather conditions at the match location, particularly if they are expected to be severe, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant analysis or predictions from sports analysts or commentators could sway public opinion and, consequently, the market price. Unexpected performance in preceding matches for either team could also be a catalyst for movement.