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Finland vs. Belarus
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Finland vs. Belarus?

Volume:
$3,300,981

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 29, 2026

Closed: Sep 29, 1:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$193,797
N/A
N/A
$122,235
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Finland vs. Belarus)

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$86,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
74%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$18,892
$56,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

FIN

View
1%
60%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$174
$351,870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Finland

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,163,760
N/A
N/A
$702,988
Settled
No
polymarket

Finland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$768,219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

BELA

View
1%
14%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$8,942
$72,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Belarus

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$435,703
N/A
N/A
$238,077
Settled
No
polymarket

Belarus

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172,843
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Finland versus Belarus UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 29, 2026, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official UEFA statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 29, 2026, to see if the anticipated draw materializes within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match results and a defined fallback hierarchy for data sourcing.Primary resolution logic: Official UEFA statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • The primary source of truth is the official statistics from the governing body (UEFA).
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, a defined fallback order is used: Flashscore, Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting.
  • If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match results are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback data sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, 2026 between Finland and Belarus.

Kalshi

This event involves a professional UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 29, 2026, between Finland and Belarus. Similar to the Moldova vs Faroe Islands event, the market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The possible outcomes are a Finland win, a Belarus win, or a tie. If the match concludes in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In cases where the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price per the platform's rules. The platform emphasizes it holds no official connection to the governing league, and all related trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, 2026 between Finland and Belarus.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Finland vs. Belarus match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one particular result, though opinions vary. Total volume for this market is $3,300,981, with $3,132,238 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how the 'wisdom of the crowd' is assessing the potential for each outcome as the event approaches. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more nuanced view of potential outcomes than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the result. Prediction markets, however, are driven by traders directly betting on the outcome, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and statistics, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate new information, such as injuries or changes in team form, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely winner.