TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 6:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Finland wins by 2 or more goals against Germany during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for May 31, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that Finland wins by exactly 2 or more goals. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the implied probability derived from the current mid-market price. As match conditions, team news, and betting flows evolve, the price adjusts continuously. The Limitless interface shows real-time bid–ask spreads, allowing you to execute at market or place limit orders. Volume and liquidity on this specific outcome determine how easily you can enter or exit positions.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official match result: if Finland wins by 2 or more goals, the outcome resolves YES; any other result (Finland win by 1, draw, or Germany win) resolves NO. The determination uses the official score recorded by the governing football authority at full time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts unless the match format specifies otherwise. Once the final whistle sounds and the official result is confirmed, the market settles automatically.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form trends. Head-to-head history and tactical adjustments by either coach can shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage, and tournament context (group stage vs knockout) all influence scoring patterns. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market often signals new information. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and betting-exchange volume spikes can accelerate price moves. Close to kickoff, late team sheets and pre-match commentary typically drive final repricing as traders digest the latest developments.