TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which player will win the first set of a tennis match between Filip Misolic and Francisco Cerundolo at the 2026 US Open. The outcome depends solely on the result of the first set, regardless of the final match result. It reflects the competitive dynamics and performance of both players in the early stages of their encounter.
The market resolves based on which player wins the first set of the Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128. If the match does not occur before any play due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, it resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires during the match, markets can resolve based on completed play; otherwise, unresolved markets settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectations of all participants. The market’s probability indicates how likely each player is perceived to be for claiming the first set, adjusting fluidly with new information and trading volume of $87,814.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first set will be the official result, closing the market and determining payouts for all participants based on their positions at that time.
Injuries, recent match form, weather conditions, and any last-minute player changes could shift this market. Media updates, betting trends, and analyst commentary leading up to the match often influence trader sentiment, causing price swings. Keep an eye on practice sessions and official pre-match announcements, as these can dramatically alter perceptions of who might win the opening set.