TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 6:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Figueirense and Ferroviaria, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. These thresholds vary depending on which team wins and by how many goals they win by.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Figueirense or Ferroviaria wins the match, with different thresholds applying to each potential outcome. If Figueirense wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the corresponding markets resolve to Yes. Similarly, if Ferroviaria wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the relevant markets resolve to Yes. The match must be played as originally scheduled for August 8, 2026, and the resolution is determined after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event explicitly states that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result and goal differential, which will be checked against widely accepted sports data sources at that time.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form for either team can shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any significant developments in league standings or head-to-head history closer to the match date often influence pricing, as traders adjust their expectations for the likely spread outcome.