TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 10:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Stephanie Bruna Luciano will win the professional MMA fight against Marina Spasic scheduled for August 1, 2026, on Kalshi, with resolution based on the fight result. The current probability of Luciano winning stands at 78.0%, while Spasic’s chance is at 24.0%. The outcome will be determined by the event on August 1, 2026, so keep an eye on that date for resolution.
If Marina Spasic wins the Spasic vs Luciano professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephanie Bruna Luciano wins the Spasic vs Luciano professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on the officially declared winner of the fight, and traders can track news or live updates that may affect the likely resolution weeks beforehand.
Key updates such as fighter injuries, training camp performance, and media hype could shift trader sentiment in this market. Changes in betting trends or analyst predictions may also influence odds. As Aug 1, 2026 approaches, any last-minute announcements or fight-night developments typically cause rapid movements. Traders should monitor official fight promotions and credible sports news for any catalyst that alters the perceived likelihood of each outcome.