TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 4:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the likelihood of Xiao Long winning the professional MMA fight against Francesco Nuzzi. On Kalshi, Xiao Long wins currently holds a probability of 61.0%, while Francesco Nuzzi wins stands at 39.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the fight's result. The decisive moment to watch will be the fight itself on August 29, 2026, which will determine the market's settlement.
If Xiao Long wins the Long vs Nuzzi professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francesco Nuzzi wins the Long vs Nuzzi professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their collective assessment of each fighter’s chances. The current top outcome’s implied probability shows what the market thinks is most likely, with volume of $1,149,800 indicating overall interest. Price fluctuations happen as new information — such as training updates or promotional events — influences trader behavior.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the fight’s conclusion, and the market settles based on that verified decision. Traders can track announcements leading up to the date to anticipate possible resolution timing.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 29, 2026. Key fight previews, trainer commentary, and any last-minute changes to participant health or strategy often influence trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting either fighter’s momentum, betting volume spikes from large traders, and official pre-fight announcements may all cause noticeable price swings as the event draws closer.