TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Fight Night: Long vs Nuzzi
kalshi

Who will win Long vs Nuzzi?

Volume:
$1,149,800

Francesco Nuzzi

 - Kalshi

Francesco Nuzzi - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 4:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Francesco Nuzzi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$392,185
N/A
N/A
$218,084
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Xiao Long

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$757,615
N/A
N/A
$567,181
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Xiao Long winning the professional MMA fight against Francesco Nuzzi. On Kalshi, Xiao Long wins currently holds a probability of 61.0%, while Francesco Nuzzi wins stands at 39.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the fight's result. The decisive moment to watch will be the fight itself on August 29, 2026, which will determine the market's settlement.

Kalshi

If Xiao Long wins the Long vs Nuzzi professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francesco Nuzzi wins the Long vs Nuzzi professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Long vs Nuzzi fight outcome market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for this market, alongside a live chart of price history and current 24-hour volume of $393,111. This single-venue view shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their collective assessment of each fighter’s chances. The current top outcome’s implied probability shows what the market thinks is most likely, with volume of $1,149,800 indicating overall interest. Price fluctuations happen as new information — such as training updates or promotional events — influences trader behavior.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the fight’s conclusion, and the market settles based on that verified decision. Traders can track announcements leading up to the date to anticipate possible resolution timing.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 29, 2026. Key fight previews, trainer commentary, and any last-minute changes to participant health or strategy often influence trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting either fighter’s momentum, betting volume spikes from large traders, and official pre-fight announcements may all cause noticeable price swings as the event draws closer.