TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Fight Night: Janicic vs Gugnon
kalshi

Who will win Janicic vs Gugnon?

Volume:
$1,341,785

Noah Gugnon

 - Kalshi

Noah Gugnon - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 1:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Noah Gugnon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$568,520
N/A
N/A
$459,255
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Milos Janicic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$773,266
N/A
N/A
$657,614
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Milos Janicic will win the professional MMA fight against Noah Gugnon scheduled for August 1, 2026, on Kalshi, resolving based on the fight's official result. The current probability of Janicic winning stands at 55.0%, with Gugnon at 46.0%. The outcome will be determined by the bout's result on the scheduled date, and all eyes will be on the fight itself on August 1, 2026, to settle this market.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Janicic vs Gugnon professional MMA fight originally scheduled for August 1, 2026. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled fight concludes, provided it happens within two weeks of the original date. If the fight ends in a tie or no contest, it resolves as a 50/50 split for both participants. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, the market resolves at a fair price as determined by the rules. These conditions apply equally to both fighters' markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria across all outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Janicic vs Gugnon fight outcome market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume for this market. It provides a snapshot of trader sentiment and liquidity, showing how the probability of each outcome changes over time. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect the latest trading activity and market dynamics, allowing users to monitor shifts in expectations leading up to the event.

This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the fight’s conclusion, reflecting either a win by one fighter, a draw, or other defined result. Traders can track confirmed news sources for updates as the event date approaches.

Key signals such as injury updates, training camp performance, promotional hype, and pre-fight media appearances could shift this market. Any change in fighter status, unexpected developments in the lead-up, or shifts in public sentiment may cause traders to re-evaluate probabilities. Monitoring official fight announcements and credible sports news will help anticipate potential market movements before resolution.