TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Norma Dumont Viana will win her professional MMA fight against Ailin Perez. Currently, the probability of Norma Dumont Viana winning on Kalshi is 80.0%, while Ailin Perez winning is at 22.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the Dumont Viana vs Perez fight, as determined by the fight’s governing body. Keep an eye on the fight itself, scheduled for September 26, 2026, as the outcome will determine resolution, with the market resolving by September 27, 2026.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Dumont Viana vs Perez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market stays open until the rescheduled fight finishes within two weeks. A tie or no contest leads to a 50/50 resolution for both fighters, and cancellation or rescheduling beyond two weeks results in a fair price resolution. These provisions apply to both fighters' markets and do not imply endorsement by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially be influenced by public betting patterns, this market is driven by individual traders' informed opinions and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can offer a broader view of expectations surrounding the fight.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Dumont Viana vs Perez fight, as declared by the relevant governing body. The outcome will be determined by who is declared the winner of the fight according to the official rules and regulations. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not. It is important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even tactical adjustments announced before the fight could shift the odds. Public statements from analysts or experts offering opinions on the matchup could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention and influence trading activity on Kalshi. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters' chances of winning has the potential to move this market.