TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 7:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Steven Asplund will win the professional MMA fight against Guilherme Pat scheduled for August 8, 2026, on Kalshi, with resolution based on the fight result. The current probability of Asplund winning stands at 71.0%, while Pat’s chance is 30.0%. A key catalyst to watch will be the fight itself on August 8, 2026, which will determine the market outcome.
If Steven Asplund wins the Asplund vs Pat professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Guilherme Pat wins the Asplund vs Pat professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of Kalshi traders, who buy and sell contracts based on their expectations. These odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they incorporate real-time trading activity and can shift more quickly with new information. While sportsbooks set fixed prices, this market updates continuously, offering a dynamic alternative view of fighter prospects.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official fight outcome, and contracts are settled automatically based on that verified result through Kalshi's standard process.