TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Aleksandra Goryachkina
- Kalshi
Aleksandra Goryachkina - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 1, 2026
Closed: Sep 1, 10:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of female chess players in the global ranking system over a specific period. Participants are evaluated based on their skill level as measured by an internationally recognized rating list, reflecting their competitive standing in the sport.
The event determines whether specified female chess players achieve a position within the top 10 on the September 2026 FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List. Each market corresponds to an individual player, and resolution is based on their official FIDE rating at the conclusion of the September 2026 rating list publication. In cases where multiple players have identical Elo ratings, FIDE's established tiebreaking procedures apply: first, the player with the higher number of rated games played during the rating period ranks higher; second, if the number of games is equal, the younger player (based on later birth date) is ranked higher; and third, if both the game count and birth date are identical, players are ordered alphabetically by their family name. These rules ensure a clear and consistent ranking methodology for resolving the outcomes of all relevant markets.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment about the women's chess rankings, often showing sharper movements than traditional sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks may offer fixed lines based on broader analyst views, prediction markets like this one adjust in real time to trading activity. The resulting prices can diverge noticeably, especially as new tournament results or rating updates emerge. Traders benefit from a more responsive, community-driven odds surface that captures fine-grained shifts in expectations for the top 10 rated women players by Sep 30, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official FIDE ratings for September 2026 are published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking list will determine which players are in the top 10, settling all contracts based on the verified standings. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the official release, ensuring a clear and objective resolution process for all participants.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major tournament results, injuries or changes in player activity, and updates to rating systems. Strong performances in high-profile events may boost a player's implied chances, while setbacks could lower them. Additionally, changes in the competitive landscape, such as new entrants or retirements, might also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage and analyst predictions leading up to September 2026 can further affect market dynamics, as traders react to evolving expectations about each player's future ranking potential.