TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming soccer match between Ferroviario and Ceara. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will be high-scoring or low-scoring based on the combined performance of both teams.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Ferroviario vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026, counting only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee at the end of each half. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all calculations. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. These markets operate independently, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of scoring intensity in the match. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by supply and demand from individuals betting real money. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the event’s likelihood. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Ferroviario vs Ceara match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective bids and asks of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time discovery of the market’s expectation for the event.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Ferroviario vs Ceara match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ferroviario or Ceara would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Unexpected tactical decisions or lineup changes announced by the coaches could also introduce volatility. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can shift prices, reflecting changes in market sentiment as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.