TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event evaluates the margin of victory in the Ferroviaria versus Paysandu match. Different markets cover varying degrees of winning margins for each team, indicating the potential dominance of one side over the other.
The event includes four markets focusing on the spread bet between Ferroviaria and Paysandu in their professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer game on Sep 13, 2026. The first two markets address Ferroviaria's victory margin, resolving to Yes if Ferroviaria wins by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals, respectively. The latter two markets pertain to Paysandu's victory margin, resolving to Yes if Paysandu wins by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals, respectively. All resolutions are based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the game's outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. It's common to see prediction markets evolve to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more people participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Ferroviaria vs Paysandu match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which drives price fluctuations. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of the spread being as stated.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ferroviaria or Paysandu teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in expectations and move the market accordingly.