TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 6:01 PM EST
Kalshi
Ferroviaria and Confianca face off in a crucial Serie C fixture, where the focus is on determining which team secures a convincing victory. The contest's resolution hinges on the size of the winning margin, favoring either a strong Ferroviaria performance or a dominant Confianca comeback.
This event encompasses four possible outcomes for the Ferroviaria vs Confianca Brasileiro Serie C soccer match set for August 29, 2026. The outcomes are defined by specific winning margins: Ferroviaria winning by more than 2.5 goals, Ferroviaria winning by more than 1.5 goals, Confianca winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Confianca winning by more than 2.5 goals. The match result is determined exclusively by the full-time score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalties. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the designated team's victory meets or exceeds the required goal difference; all other scenarios resolve to 'No'. Kalshi emphasizes its lack of official connection to the league, and all branding remains owned by the respective parties.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively buy and sell contracts representing possible goal-difference outcomes, setting the current price through supply and demand. The top outcome reflects the aggregate belief of participants about which side is more likely to cover the spread, with the probability displayed as a percentage. Volume of $1,890 and recent 24-hour volume of $1,810 indicate market activity levels.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result and spread calculation, which will be compared against the market’s defined criteria at that time.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions on match day, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift trader expectations and move this market. High-profile media coverage or analyst predictions may also influence sentiment. As the match approaches, any update that affects the perceived likelihood of a win by more than 2.5 goals can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.