TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Brasileiro Serie C league. The match features two competing teams, and the result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The possible outcomes include a win for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Ferroviaria vs Brusque professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer game scheduled for September 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Ferroviaria wins, the 'Ferroviaria' market resolves to Yes. If Brusque wins, the 'Brusque' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. As more information becomes available—such as team news or weather forecasts—the odds on Kalshi may diverge from those found at traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices efficiently, as they can profit by correctly predicting the outcome. The more traders participate, the more accurate the price becomes, as it aggregates diverse perspectives and information. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ferroviaria vs Brusque match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process, based on publicly available and verifiable information.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ferroviaria or Brusque would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect playing style, could also impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about team tactics or formations might also shift the market. Finally, significant betting activity—a large influx of volume on one particular outcome—could also drive price changes as traders react to perceived information or momentum.