TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 3:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group tracks the halftime result of the Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze Europa League soccer match scheduled for August 5-6, 2026. Markets across platforms resolve based on whether Ferencvárosi TC leads, Górnik Zabrze leads, or the match is tied at halftime (after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time).
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Ferencvárosi TC and Górnik Zabrze, scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The event determines the winner of the first half in the Ferencvarosi versus Gornik Zabrze Europa League match scheduled for August 6, 2026. If Ferencvarosi scores more goals than Gornik Zabrze in the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Ferencvarosi wins 1st Half' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Gornik Zabrze scores more goals, the 'Gornik Zabrze wins 1st Half' market resolves to Yes. Should both teams score an equal number of goals—or no goals at all—the 'Tie 1st Half' market resolves to Yes. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The outcome is strictly based on first-half performance, with no consideration for the full match result.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform has its own user base, liquidity conditions, and trading dynamics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue might see heavier trading from fans of a particular team, skewing its probabilities, while the other could reflect a more neutral, global audience. These differences in participation and information flow often explain why the same question can yield distinct implied chances on different prediction platforms.
In the run-up to resolution, anything that impacts team form, player availability, or tactical changes could shift this market. Key signals include injury announcements, weather forecasts affecting the game, or recent performance trends that suggest a stronger start from either side. As these updates roll out, traders on Polymarket and Kalshi will react, potentially moving probabilities by several points depending on the perceived impact on the first half’s outcome.