TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This group of markets resolves based on the exact final score of the Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze UEFA Europa League match scheduled for August 5, 2026, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Ferencvárosi TC and Górnik Zabrze, scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze match originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event resolves to Yes for the specific market if the designated match ends in the exact score outlined in the respective market rules after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty phases. Each market corresponds to a unique potential scoreline, ranging from various draw results to different win margins for either team. The outcome is determined solely by the final score at the end of regular time; any subsequent proceedings such as extra time or penalties do not affect the resolution. All markets are independent, meaning the occurrence of one specific score does not influence others.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more European traders familiar with these teams, skewing its probabilities. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure and trading rules, which influence how prices discover consensus. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi show distinct leading outcomes.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or recent form for either team could shift this market as the match approaches. Trading volume may spike around team announcements or ahead of the game week. Any surprise lineup changes or tactical shifts could also cause rapid price adjustments on both Polymarket and Kalshi as traders reassess the likelihood of various exact scores.