TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Ferencvárosi TC vs FK Vojvodina Novi Sad?

Volume:
$141,137

Ferencvárosi TC

 - Polymarket

Ferencvárosi TC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 2:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ferencvárosi TC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$78,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ferencvarosi wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,630
N/A
N/A
$3,145
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ferencvarosi wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,475
N/A
N/A
$3,251
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FK Vojvodina Novi Sad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vojvodina Novi Sad wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
$392
Settled
No
kalshi

Vojvodina Novi Sad wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
$301
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a professional Europa League soccer match between Ferencvárosi TC and FK Vojvodina Novi Sad scheduled for July 16, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) and margin-of-victory thresholds across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation while win/loss resolve NO; Kalshi margin markets lack cancellation clauses entirely, creating ambiguity.Hero tip: Verify cancellation protocols with both platforms before market close. Polymarket draw bettors have asymmetric upside if the match is canceled. Kalshi margin market participants should request explicit cancellation language to avoid settlement disputes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Ferencvárosi win, draw, Vojvodina win) all reference official UEFA statistics within 2 hours post-match as primary source. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation logic: draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up; win/loss markets resolve NO. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs 'Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (win/loss).
  • Kalshi: Four margin-of-victory markets (Ferencvárosi >2.5, >1.5; Vojvodina >2.5, >1.5 goals). Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties. Primary source: implied official match statistics. Critical gap: no explicit language addressing postponement, cancellation, or no-contest scenarios. Markets are silent on these edge cases.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, July 16, 2026 between Ferencvárosi TC and FK Vojvodina Novi Sad.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the goal margin between the two teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Outcomes are determined by whether one team wins by more than specified goal differentials (1.5 or 2.5 goals). The market captures both potential Ferencvarosi victories and Vojvodina Novi Sad victories at different margin thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price the same event differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover prices. This market's odds reflect real-money commitments from thousands of participants, often capturing sharper probability estimates than fixed sportsbook lines, especially for niche outcomes or as new team news breaks closer to match time.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform design, user base composition, and liquidity depth all influence pricing. Polymarket and Kalshi attract different trader demographics and may weight recent data—such as injury reports or lineup changes—at different speeds. Arbitrage opportunities between platforms are typically small but can persist if one venue has lower volume or slower information flow, creating temporary price gaps that savvy traders exploit.

Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups, injury announcements, and recent form updates for both sides. Head-to-head history and any roster changes can shift trader positioning significantly. Weather conditions at the venue, referee assignments, and late-breaking tactical news may also influence odds in the final hours before kickoff. Monitor official club channels and sports news outlets for developments that could reshape market conviction.