TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
Ferencvarosi and Vojvodina Novi Sad play a Europa League Qualifying soccer match on July 16, 2026. The final outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty decisions.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Ferencvarosi vs Vojvodina Novi Sad Europa League Qualifying match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The match outcome is evaluated in three possible states: a win for Ferencvarosi, a win for Vojvodina Novi Sad, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and participant bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or trading volume shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and retail traders disagree on the likely outcome, offering perspective on consensus versus outlier views.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade, meaning the most recent transaction sets the displayed odds. As traders submit new bids and asks, prices adjust in real time. This mechanism encourages price discovery and allows you to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official match records. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments and pre-match information influence their expectations. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after which no further trading is permitted.
Several factors may shift prices in this market before Jul 16, 2026. Team news—such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup announcements—can significantly alter perceived win probabilities. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments by either side may also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking developments in the days leading up to kickoff could prompt repricing. As match day approaches, increased trading volume and refined information typically narrow the odds and reflect sharper consensus among market participants.