TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 4:33 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Europa League clash between Ferencvarosi and Gornik Zabrze, investors will gauge the spread conditions. The markets will settle based on whether Ferencvarosi wins by more than 2.5 goals, more than 1.5 goals, or if Gornik Zabrze triumphs by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The determination is made after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty phases.
The market resolves according to the goal difference in the Ferencvarosi versus Gornik Zabrze Europa League match scheduled for August 6, 2026. Four primary rules are in effect: Ferencvarosi winning by more than 2.5 goals, Ferencvarosi winning by more than 1.5 goals, Gornik Zabrze winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Gornik Zabrze winning by more than 2.5 goals. The outcome is determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalties. Kalshi emphasizes that it holds no official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader bets and the inclusion of broader outcomes. While sportsbooks may set a line at a specific goal differential, prediction markets incorporate trader insights and can adjust more rapidly to new information, sometimes showing a wider or narrower spread depending on recent performance and betting patterns.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through their buy and sell orders, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectation of participants. The market’s probability distribution is determined by the balance of open orders and recent trading activity, allowing for dynamic adjustments as new data emerges about team form, injuries, or other relevant factors.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared to the spread set in the market to determine which outcome — whether Ferencvarosi covers or Gornik Zabrze meets the spread — is correct, and contracts will settle accordingly based on that result.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent performance in smaller matches can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any significant news — such as lineup announcements or weather conditions affecting the match — may cause rapid adjustments in odds as traders reassess the likely margin of victory ahead of the final whistle.