This event group covers a professional Europa League soccer match between Fenerbahçe SK and Nottingham Forest FC scheduled for February 19, 2026. Three markets track the outcome: Fenerbahçe win, draw, and Nottingham Forest win, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on full cancellation, while Fenerbahçe and Nottingham markets resolve No. Kalshi's cancellation handling is not explicitly defined, creating potential settlement conflicts.
Hero Tip:
Traders holding positions on both platforms should clarify cancellation protocol with each platform before match day. A full game cancellation could result in conflicting resolutions: Polymarket draw market Yes vs. Polymarket win markets No, and Kalshi's behavior remains undefined. Request written confirmation from both platforms on their cancellation rules.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate markets: Fenerbahçe win resolves Yes if Fenerbahçe wins, No otherwise or on cancellation. Draw resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, Yes if canceled with no make-up. Nottingham win resolves Yes if Nottingham wins, No otherwise or on cancellation. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market only).
Kalshi: Three outcome-specific markets: Nottingham win market resolves Yes if Nottingham wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Fenerbahçe win market resolves Yes if Fenerbahçe wins. Tie market resolves Yes if the match ends in a tie. Cancellation protocol is not explicitly stated. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Fenerbahce vs Nottingham professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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