TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Fenerbahçe SK and Górnik Zabrze, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Górnik Zabrze" if Górnik Zabrze are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Fenerbahçe SK and Górnik Zabrze, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Górnik Zabrze" if Górnik Zabrze are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money stakes. Traders here are motivated to identify mispricing and profit from accurate forecasts, which can lead to sharper odds over time. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports before this market fully reprices. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional betting markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—Fenerbahçe SK, Górnik Zabrze, or neither team scoring first—has its own contract, and the sum of all outcome prices equals one dollar. As traders buy or sell contracts, the price adjusts continuously to reflect new information and shifting expectations. The current leading outcome reflects the aggregate belief of active traders on the platform at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team, if any, scores the opening goal during regulation time. Once the event is finalized and confirmed through established sports reporting channels, the winning contract will be paid out at full value and all other contracts will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official match updates to anticipate the resolution timing.
Team news—such as injuries to key strikers, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, as can recent form and head-to-head records. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage, and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff often trigger repricing. Late-breaking betting flows from sharp traders or sudden shifts in public sentiment can also move prices rapidly. Additionally, any pre-match developments affecting either team's motivation or confidence may influence how traders reassess the probability of an early goal. Monitor official team announcements and sports news closely in the hours leading up to kickoff.