TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 2:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming Champions League soccer match by winning by a margin of more than 1.5 goals. It specifically tracks performance within the first 45 minutes of play, ignoring any events from the second half.
The market evaluates dominance in the first half of the Fenerbahçe versus Sturm Graz Champions League match scheduled for August 5, 2026, based on goal differential. Resolution occurs if either team secures a victory margin exceeding 1.5 goals during this period. If the match is canceled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, the outcome will instead reflect a fair price determination. Only goals scored in the first half contribute to the result, with no consideration given to second-half performance.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling contracts, reflecting their collective view of the likely outcome. The current probability indicates how the market views the chances of each result, influenced by recent trading volume of $11,762. This dynamic pricing adjusts in real time as new information emerges, allowing participants to react quickly to shifts in expectations around the match.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual first-half score difference, which will be compared against the defined spread to settle all positions. No further analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the official match result.
Key signals such as injury updates, lineup announcements, or recent form for either team could shift this market. Weather conditions, tactical changes by coaches, and even early-game momentum during the match may also cause rapid price adjustments. Any development that impacts the perceived likelihood of a specific first-half spread will influence trader behavior and market movement on Kalshi.