TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 1:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Felix Auger-Aliassime versus Roman Andres Burruchaga match at the 2026 French Open will exceed 41.5 total games played across all sets. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. The market resolves based on the official game count from the completed match as documented by the French Open. Watch for the match result on May 28, 2026, when the Round of 64 encounter takes place, as the final game total will determine the resolution.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized beliefs about the total games outcome. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether traders expect a longer or shorter match than oddsmakers have priced. These differences highlight how prediction markets and sportsbooks use distinct methodologies to price the same tennis event.
The market resolves on May 28, 2026, after the Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga match concludes. The outcome is determined by the total number of games played across all sets in the completed match. Once the match ends and the final game count is confirmed, the market settles based on whether the actual total aligns with the predicted outcome. Traders should monitor official match results to understand how their positions will resolve.
Several factors could shift odds before May 28, 2026. Recent tournament performance, injury updates, or changes in player ranking and confidence levels may influence expectations about match length. Court surface and weather conditions announced closer to match day could affect playing style and total games. Head-to-head history and any coaching changes may also prompt trader reassessment. Breaking news about either player's fitness or mental state could trigger sharp price movements as traders adjust their probability estimates for the total games outcome.