TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 12:03 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional tennis players compete in the second set of their French Open match during the early rounds of the tournament.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks apply built-in margins and adjust odds based on liability management, while prediction markets allow continuous price discovery. For the Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 Winner event, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the market is pricing in factors like recent form, head-to-head history, or court conditions differently than professional oddsmakers.
The market resolves at May 28, 2026, after the second set of the Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga match concludes. The outcome is determined by the official result of Set 2 as recorded by the tournament or match officials. Once the set winner is confirmed, the contract settles to either 100 cents for the winning outcome or 0 cents for the losing outcome. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout automatically.
Several factors could shift market prices before May 28, 2026. Changes in player injury status, recent match results, or updated rankings may influence trader confidence. Court surface conditions, weather, or tournament seeding could affect perceived advantage. Set 1 outcome will be a major catalyst, as momentum and fatigue often carry into Set 2. News about either player's form, mental state, or head-to-head record could trigger repricing. As the match approaches, real-time developments during Set 1 will likely drive the most significant price movements on Kalshi.