TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final set score of the Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Dino Prizmic first-round match at the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles tournament on July 1. The market resolves based on the complete match outcome, with separate outcomes for each possible final set score.
The market resolves to Yes for the specific outcome matching the final set score of the Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Dino Prizmic 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 64 match. Possible outcomes include Felix Auger-Aliassime winning 3-0, 3-1, or 3-2, and Dino Prizmic winning 3-0, 3-1, or 3-2. If the match does not occur before it begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market may show tighter or wider spreads than sportsbooks depending on trader conviction and liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from bookmaker pricing, though both sources inform serious bettors evaluating the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for each exact scoreline outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective confidence of traders; higher prices indicate stronger belief in that result. Participants can enter limit or market orders to trade shares, and the spread between bid and ask prices tightens as more liquidity enters the book. This mechanism ensures prices stay anchored to real-time expectations about the match.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the match concludes and the final set score is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting the official result. Traders holding shares in the correct exact scoreline will receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, allowing quick settlement and capital redeployment.
Several factors may shift odds before the match begins. Recent form and head-to-head records between the players can reshape trader expectations. Court surface, weather conditions, and tournament context all influence perceived advantage. Injury reports or late withdrawals would trigger sharp repricing. Once play starts, momentum swings during the match—such as a player winning the first set decisively—often cause sharp moves in the odds for specific scorelines. Betting action from sharp traders and public sentiment can also drive price changes as the event approaches.