TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Scottie Scheffler will finish in the top ten positions at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship, a major professional golf tournament. On Kalshi, the current probability that Scheffler will achieve a top-10 finish stands at 99.0%. The resolution source will determine the outcome based on the final leaderboard of the tournament. Watch for the tournament's conclusion on August 30, 2026, as this is when the market will be resolved according to the final results.
Each market assesses whether the named golfer finishes in the top 10, including ties, during the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship. If the golfer does not participate or withdraws before teeing off, the market resolves at the fair market price; if they withdraw after teeing off, the market resolves as 'No'. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the PGA or the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders rather than set bookmaker margins. In this market, the probability implied by trader activity can show tighter ranges or unexpected shifts compared to sportsbook favorites. These differences arise from real-time trading dynamics and can highlight where sharp money sees value that sportsbooks may not yet price in.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current implied probability for each possible outcome. The platform updates prices based on order book depth and recent trades, reflecting the most recent market consensus. This mechanism allows rapid price adjustments as new information emerges, such as player injuries or weather updates affecting the tournament.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the tournament results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final list of players who finish in the top ten will determine which contracts settle in profit or loss for traders. Timing aligns with the official event conclusion, ensuring a clear and transparent resolution process.