TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 4:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Taylor Swift's Fearless - Taylor's Version will exceed 22,006,904 worldwide streams during the May 22–28 tracking week on Luminate. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 47.5%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate streaming data for that specific week, with settlement expected by June 1, 2026. Watch the final streaming counts released for the May 22–28 tracking period to see if the album surpasses the threshold.
On Kalshi, Fearless - Taylor's Version streams up this week is priced as a binary contract: traders bet on whether the album will achieve above 22,006,904 streams on Luminate from May 22–28. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market probability reflects the collective assessment of traders weighing factors like Taylor Swift's fanbase engagement, playlist algorithm performance, and competing releases during that week. Prices update continuously as traders buy and sell shares, with the contract resolving to either 100 cents (outcome occurs) or zero cents (outcome does not occur) based on final Luminate data.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for the May 22–28 tracking period. The outcome hinges on whether Fearless - Taylor's Version by Taylor Swift accumulates above 22,006,904 total streams during that specific seven-day window. Luminate is the industry standard for tracking audio streams across major platforms, ensuring an objective, verifiable resolution criterion. Once the tracking week closes and Luminate publishes final figures, the contract settles based on whether the threshold is exceeded.
Several catalysts could shift market odds for Fearless - Taylor's Version streams up this week. Major playlist placements on Spotify, Apple Music, or Amazon Music during the May 22–28 window would likely boost streaming velocity and move odds upward. Social media trends, fan engagement spikes, or surprise promotional announcements from Taylor Swift or her label could accelerate streams. Conversely, competing high-profile releases or streaming fatigue might dampen performance. Real-time streaming data leaks or early Luminate reports during the tracking week could also trigger significant price movement as traders adjust their positions based on emerging performance signals.