TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks whether various prominent artists will appear as featured guests on Drake's upcoming album titled "Fear of Missing Out." The outcome depends on the album's actual release and the specific inclusion of each named artist as a featured performer.
The markets resolve to Yes if the specified artist is featured on Drake's album titled "Fear of Missing Out." For any market to be valid, the album must be released and available on Spotify before the year 2027. If the album is not released by that date, all markets automatically resolve to No. Each market individually checks for the presence of its named artist as a featured performer on the album.
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinions. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional polls or individual analyst predictions, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and anticipating shifts in sentiment more quickly. Discrepancies can arise from varying methodologies, biases, or access to information. It’s valuable to consider both sources when forming your own assessment of likely outcomes related to PredictionHero’s feature roadmap.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's consensus view – higher prices indicate greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The current market depth and order flow are visible on the Kalshi dashboard, allowing you to see the forces driving price movements.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on official announcements from PredictionHero regarding the release or non-release of the features discussed in the market. The exact details of feature implementation or cancellation will be the determining factor. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once they are available.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Official announcements from PredictionHero regarding their feature development roadmap are primary catalysts. Unexpected delays in feature releases, changes in development priorities, or even positive or negative user feedback could all influence trading activity. Major updates to the PredictionHero platform itself, or significant shifts in the competitive landscape of prediction markets, could also impact traders’ perceptions and drive price fluctuations in this market.