TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 9:38 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FCSB and FK Auda, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FCSB" if FCSB are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Auda" if FK Auda are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FCSB and FK Auda, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FCSB" if FCSB are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Auda" if FK Auda are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate decentralized trader positions rather than relying on oddsmakers' models. On Polymarket, prices adjust in real time based on supply and demand, whereas sportsbooks typically move lines to balance action and protect margins. This market's odds may reflect sharper or more volatile sentiment around first-goal outcomes, especially as match day approaches and new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the current probability implied by the order book; as traders accumulate positions, prices shift to balance supply and demand. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices move and how tight the bid-ask spread remains throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed through credible public reporting of the match result, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all participants. Resolution occurs automatically once the event is finalized and the winning outcome is locked in.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift odds as traders reassess each side's attacking capability. Pre-match analysis, recent form, and head-to-head history also influence sentiment. Closer to kickoff, weather conditions, venue factors, and any last-minute tactical adjustments may trigger repricing. Early match events, such as an early yellow card or a near-miss, can also prompt traders to adjust their positions before the first goal is scored.