TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 12:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FCI Levadia and Caernarfon Town FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FCI Levadia" if FCI Levadia score more goals than Caernarfon Town FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FCI Levadia and Caernarfon Town FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Caernarfon Town FC" if Caernarfon Town FC score more goals than FCI Levadia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FCI Levadia and Caernarfon Town FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FCI Levadia" if FCI Levadia score more goals than Caernarfon Town FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FCI Levadia and Caernarfon Town FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Caernarfon Town FC" if Caernarfon Town FC score more goals than FCI Levadia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from real-time trader activity and belief. This market reflects what participants actually think will happen in the second half, without a built-in house edge. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus diverges, helping you identify potential value or confirm conventional wisdom about the match outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the aggregate belief of all participants, updated continuously as new trades execute. The more capital flowing into a particular result, the higher its price climbs. This mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader conviction, creating a dynamic price discovery process that converges toward the true likelihood as the second half approaches.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match's second half concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the final score or result recorded for the second-half period only, independent of the first-half scoreline. Resolution depends on confirmation from official match records or widely recognized sports data providers, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff. Early first-half momentum and goals can shift expectations for the second-half outcome, as traders reassess fatigue, tactical shifts, and psychological factors. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and red cards during the first half may also influence second-half dynamics. Real-time score updates and substitution patterns will likely trigger sharp repricing as the match unfolds and new information becomes available to the trading community.