TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 5:52 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Zimbru Chişinău and Noah FA, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Zimbru Chişinău" if FC Zimbru Chişinău score more goals than Noah FA in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Zimbru Chişinău and Noah FA score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Noah FA" if Noah FA score more goals than FC Zimbru Chişinău in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Zimbru Chişinău and Noah FA, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Zimbru Chişinău" if FC Zimbru Chişinău score more goals than Noah FA in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Zimbru Chişinău and Noah FA score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Noah FA" if Noah FA score more goals than FC Zimbru Chişinău in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and adjust continuously as new data emerges, whereas sportsbooks may move more slowly. For this matchup, comparing the market's implied probability to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether one venue is pricing the second-half outcome more conservatively or aggressively than the other.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative belief of all participants; as more traders buy shares predicting one result, that outcome's price rises and its implied probability increases. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and your trade executes against the liquidity pool. This continuous pricing model ensures the market stays responsive to breaking news, team updates, or other factors that might shift expectations for the second half.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone, independent of the first-half score. No draws or other complications apply; the market simply reflects the final second-half scoreline. Traders should monitor official match reports and reputable sports news outlets to confirm the result before the resolution window closes.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before Jul 23, 2026. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp repricing. Early match events such as goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments during the first half frequently reshape expectations for the second-half outcome. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form trends can also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any official announcements regarding venue changes or match postponements would immediately impact pricing. Monitoring team social media, injury reports, and live match commentary helps traders stay ahead of market movements.