TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Union Gilloise
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 17, 2026
Latest in Sports
Closed: Sep 17, 5:02 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks the probability of RU Saint-Gilloise winning their Europa League soccer match against FC Viktoria Plzeň on September 17, 2026. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Limitless, Polymarket, and Kalshi gives RU Saint-Gilloise a 99.3% chance of winning. This market will resolve based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the Europa League result. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 17, 2026, to see if the anticipated outcome holds true.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellation by resolving win/draw markets to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this provision and relies on official results or alternative data.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading these markets. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in case of cancellation, while Kalshi's resolution is less certain.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Win/Draw markets resolve to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Resolution source is UEFA with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus. Key Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
- Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellation is provided. Key Quote: "If Plzen wins the Plzen vs Union Gilloise professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time... then the market resolves to Yes."
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, September 17, 2026 between FC Viktoria Plzeň and RU Saint-Gilloise.
Kalshi
If Plzen wins the Plzen vs Union Gilloise professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Union Gilloise wins the Plzen vs Union Gilloise professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Plzen vs Union Gilloise professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if both Plzen and Union St. Gilloise score at least one goal each during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the UEFA Europa League match scheduled for September 17, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Viktoria Plzeň vs. Saint-Gilloise match. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform influences price discovery; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility. These factors create distinct market dynamics, resulting in differing probabilities for the same event.
