TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Universitatea Cluj and FCV Farul Constanţa, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Universitatea Cluj" if FC Universitatea Cluj are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FCV Farul Constanţa" if FCV Farul Constanţa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FC Universitatea Cluj and FCV Farul Constanţa, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Universitatea Cluj" if FC Universitatea Cluj are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FCV Farul Constanţa" if FCV Farul Constanţa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. Sportsbooks may adjust lines more slowly or conservatively, whereas this market can respond instantly to breaking news, lineup changes, or sharp trader positioning. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in pricing low-probability outcomes that sportsbooks may misprice. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue undervalues or overvalues a particular scorer's chances.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders deposit collateral, select their preferred scorer outcome, and the platform calculates prices based on the ratio of shares held in each contract. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and others fall, creating a self-balancing mechanism. Liquidity pools determine how sharply prices move with each trade, so deeper pools allow larger positions with smaller price impact. This continuous pricing model ensures transparent, auditable odds at every moment.
Several catalysts can shift odds significantly before kickoff. Confirmed team lineups and starting XI announcements often trigger sharp repricing, especially if a key striker is benched or injured. Injury reports, suspension news, or late roster changes can dramatically alter a player's scoring probability. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may influence trader positioning. Betting syndicate activity or large block trades can signal informed conviction and move prices rapidly. Close to match time, pre-match commentary and final team news typically generate the most volatility. Once play begins, early possession patterns and shot attempts will continue to influence market sentiment.