TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC Universitario vs. Club Independiente Petrolero
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of FC Universitario vs. Club Independiente Petrolero?

Volume:
$32,798

FC Universitario

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 11:28 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Universitario

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,014
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Universitario de Vinto

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,720
N/A
N/A
$6,525
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Independiente Petrolero

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Independiente Petrolero

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,506
N/A
N/A
$3,699
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,246
N/A
N/A
$1,053
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Universitario vs. Club Independiente Petrolero)

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between FC Universitario and Club Independiente Petrolero on September 13, 2026, within the Bolivia Premier Division. Markets exist for either team winning or the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not specify this outcome.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome for cancellations, while Kalshi's resolution is less clear.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore if official data is unavailable. Key Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Does not explicitly state how a canceled game will be resolved, relying on standard sports event cancellation rules. Key Quote: "If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between FC Universitario and Club Independiente Petrolero.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the outcome of the Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero professional Bolivia Premier Division soccer game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If Universitario de Vinto wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties), its market resolves to Yes. If Independiente Petrolero wins under the same conditions, its market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, conversely, allow traders to openly buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes, leading to prices driven purely by supply and demand. This can sometimes result in more accurate probabilities, especially when a large and diverse group participates. However, differences can also arise due to varying levels of information and market efficiency.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. Differences in user base and trading activity contribute to varying price discovery processes. Each platform attracts different participants with potentially unique information or biases. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform—currently $32,798 overall—can influence price sensitivity. Finally, the specific market design and fee structures of Polymarket and Kalshi can also lead to divergent pricing, even when both are tracking the same underlying event.