TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC - Halftime Result
polymarket
kalshi

What is the halftime result of FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC?

Volume:
$3,521

Tie 1st Half

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 2:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie 1st Half

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$711
N/A
N/A
$517
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ferencvarosi wins 1st Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,711
N/A
N/A
$742
Settled
No
polymarket

Ferencvárosi TC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Enschede wins 1st Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$474
N/A
N/A
$408
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Twente '65

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the halftime result of the FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC Europa League match scheduled for July 23, 2026. Markets track whether Twente leads, Ferencváros leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The group spans Kalshi and Polymarket with overlapping but structurally different market definitions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent—all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market a tautology rather than a prediction instrument. Polymarket defines three separate binary markets with inconsistent cancellation rules across the draw market versus directional markets.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken and should not be traded. On Polymarket, treat the three markets as independent binaries. Be aware that the draw market resolves Yes on cancellation while the Twente and Ferencváros markets resolve No—this creates a hedge opportunity if cancellation risk is material.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure treats all three halftime outcomes (Twente lead, Ferencváros lead, tie) as Yes-resolving events. This is logically impossible since exactly one outcome must occur. The market cannot fail to resolve Yes, making it a tautology rather than a predictive instrument.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Twente leading at halftime—Yes if Twente ahead, No otherwise or if canceled. (2) Draw at halftime—Yes if tied, Yes if canceled, No otherwise. (3) Ferencváros leading at halftime—Yes if Ferencváros ahead, No otherwise or if canceled. The draw market has inverted cancellation logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between FC Twente '65 and Ferencvárosi TC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the score after 45 minutes plus stoppage time of the Enschede vs Ferencvarosi Europa League match scheduled for July 23, 2026. A tie occurs when no goals are scored during the first half or when both teams score an equal number of goals. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price halftime outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus and real money at stake. Prediction markets often react faster to breaking news—injuries, lineup changes, or weather—because participants profit directly from accuracy. Sportsbooks may lag behind or apply wider margins for risk management. For this event, comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus gaps worth monitoring.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi may also weight recent team form, injury reports, or historical head-to-head data differently. Regulatory frameworks and position limits on each venue can constrain how aggressively traders push prices toward true probability. Arbitrage traders exploit these gaps, but friction costs—withdrawal delays, platform fees, slippage—often prevent full convergence. Monitoring both platforms helps you spot mispricings and understand which venue's crowd is more confident in a given outcome.

Team news—confirmed lineups, injury updates, or surprise absences—can shift odds sharply in the days before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions at the stadium all influence trader sentiment. Early betting action on sportsbooks often bleeds into prediction markets, creating cascading repricing. On match day, pre-match commentary, referee assignments, and crowd energy can nudge odds further. Once the game starts, live goals, red cards, and tactical substitutions will drive rapid repricing until halftime. Monitoring team social media, injury reports, and early-match momentum helps you time entries and exits.