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FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Who will score first: FC Twente '65 or Ferencvárosi TC?

Volume:
$157

Ferencvárosi TC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 8:19 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ferencvárosi TC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ferencvarosi Budapest

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Twente '65

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

FC Twente Enschede

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a single match between FC Twente '65 (Enschede) and Ferencvárosi TC (Budapest) scheduled for July 23, 2026, in the Europa League. The markets ask which team will score first, with resolution depending on the time window considered (90 minutes + stoppage time vs. full match including extra time).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time window scope divergence: Kalshi includes extra time and penalty shootouts in resolution scope, while Polymarket explicitly excludes extra time and resolves only on the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.Hero tip: Understand your platform's time window before trading. If you expect a close match that may go to extra time, Kalshi and Polymarket will have different resolution outcomes. Polymarket's "Neither" outcome is only possible if no goal is scored in the first 90+stoppage minutes; Kalshi's Yes outcome always occurs (one team must score first across the entire match, or it ends 0-0).

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes if FC Twente or Ferencvarosi records the first goal during the entire game including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. Logical issue: all three resolution conditions resolve to Yes, making this a binary Yes/No market on whether a goal is scored at all, not on which team scores first.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to FC Twente '65, Ferencvárosi TC, or Neither based on first goal within first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution scope.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between FC Twente '65 and Ferencvárosi TC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Twente '65" if FC Twente '65 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ferencvárosi TC" if Ferencvárosi TC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by which team records the first goal during the entire match, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If FC Twente Enschede scores first, that outcome resolves to Yes. If Ferencvarosi Budapest scores first, that outcome resolves to Yes. If the match ends without any goal being scored, the No Goal outcome resolves to Yes. Own goals are credited to the team awarded the goal by official match records. The match is a professional Europa League game originally scheduled for July 23, 2026.

Frequently asked questions

The first-goal scorer market aggregates trader positions across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking which team is favored to break the deadlock in this matchup. Participants wager on whether FC Twente '65 or Ferencvárosi TC will score the opening goal. This market reflects real-time consensus from decentralized prediction venues, offering a dynamic alternative to traditional sportsbook lines. Volume and price movement across both platforms reveal shifting sentiment as match conditions, team news, and betting patterns evolve leading up to kickoff.

Prediction markets operate on continuous price discovery rather than fixed odds, meaning traders themselves set the probability through buy and sell orders. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, which employ oddsmakers and margin, these venues aggregate distributed opinion in real time. Prediction market prices often reflect sharper, less-biased estimates because traders risk capital directly on outcomes. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster payouts. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal value opportunities for informed bettors.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift scoring expectations significantly. Pre-match analysis, recent form, and head-to-head records influence trader positioning. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move prices in the hours before kickoff, signaling where informed capital is flowing. Live match conditions, such as early dominance or tactical adjustments, may trigger repricing if the market remains open. Social media sentiment and expert commentary can also sway retail traders, creating volatility. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders time entries and exits strategically.