TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 6:01 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between FC Twente '65 and Ferencvárosi TC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between FC Twente '65 and Ferencvárosi TC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money skin-in-the-game dynamics. On this market, odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader positioning. Prediction markets tend to be efficient at pricing widely known factors but can overweight or underweight niche insights that casual bettors miss. Comparing the two reveals arbitrage opportunities and helps you gauge whether the crowd's conviction aligns with professional bookmaker estimates.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each scoreline has its own contract, and the price of that contract reflects the collective belief in that outcome. As traders buy a particular score, its price rises and its implied probability increases; conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. The market remains open to new positions until the match concludes, allowing continuous repricing as new information emerges. This mechanism ensures prices stay anchored to live sentiment rather than stale estimates.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match between FC Twente '65 and Ferencvárosi TC is complete and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regulation time. Only the scoreline at the end of the match counts; no adjustments are made for subsequent events or disputes. Resolution is typically confirmed within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to settle their positions promptly. The market closes to new trading once the match kicks off, though existing positions remain open until official confirmation.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form or head-to-head history. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often move the market ahead of public information, so sudden price shifts can signal insider conviction. Weather conditions, venue factors, and historical scoring patterns between these clubs also influence trader positioning. As match day approaches, the market typically tightens around the most likely scorelines while long-shot outcomes become cheaper. Live updates during the match itself will drive final repricing, though this market settles only on the ultimate result.