TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC Tōkyō vs. Kyōto Sanga FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of FC Tōkyō vs. Kyōto Sanga FC?

Volume:
$29,471

FC Tōkyō

 - Polymarket

FC Tōkyō - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 8:43 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Tōkyō

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,035
N/A
N/A
$2,396
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (FC Tōkyō vs. Kyōto Sanga FC)

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyōto Sanga FC

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyoto Sanga wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,128
N/A
N/A
$3,128
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,614
N/A
N/A
$2,117
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyoto Sanga wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between FC Tōkyō and Kyōto Sanga FC on September 6, 2026. Markets cover which team will win or if the match will end in a draw, as well as win margins exceeding specific goal thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets diverge in their scope, with Polymarket focusing on the basic outcome (win/loss/draw) and Kalshi focusing on specific win margins. Additionally, Polymarket explicitly addresses game cancellation, while Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Consider the differing thresholds on Kalshi. A narrow win for FC Tokyo might resolve 'No' on Polymarket but 'Yes' on a Kalshi market if the margin exceeds 1.5 goals.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets on win/loss/draw, resolving based on the result within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Cancellation results in 'No' resolution. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'".
  • Kalshi: Offers markets on win margins exceeding 1.5 or 2.5 goals within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit rule for game cancellation. "If Tokyo wins by more than 2.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Sunday, September 6, 2026 between FC Tōkyō and Kyōto Sanga FC.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Tokyo versus Kyoto Sanga match scheduled for September 6, 2026, in Japan's J1 League, each defined by specific goal-differential thresholds. If Tokyo wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, that outcome resolves positively for Tokyo-related markets. Conversely, if Kyoto Sanga wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, that resolves positively for Kyoto Sanga-related markets. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. The event explicitly states that the platform operating these markets—Kalshi—is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and public betting patterns, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of a diverse group of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when there’s significant uncertainty or inside information not yet reflected in public data. The collective intelligence displayed in this market can sometimes offer a more nuanced forecast than conventional odds.

Differences in prices between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can vary significantly, leading to price discrepancies. Different interpretations of available information, such as team form, injuries, or weather conditions, among traders on each platform can also contribute to diverging probabilities. These factors combine to create potentially different market assessments on Polymarket and Kalshi.