TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:56 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Switzerland Super League game, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Switzerland Super League game, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. This can occur because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and perspectives than a sportsbook’s internal models. Sportsbooks may also incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets generally have lower transaction costs. Examining these differences can reveal where the market believes sportsbooks may be over- or under-estimating the probability of certain outcomes in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants regarding the Swiss Super League match.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Swiss Super League match, as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the result of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Thun or Grasshopper Club Zurich would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all contribute to price movement. Any news that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will likely be reflected in the market’s pricing before Sep 12, 2026.