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Closed: Jul 5, 3:20 PM EST
Kalshi
FC Supra Du Quebec plays Hamilton in a Canadian Premier League soccer match scheduled for July 5, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
This event covers the professional Canadian Premier League soccer match between FC Supra Du Quebec and Hamilton originally scheduled for July 5, 2026. Resolution is based on the final result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. Each outcome—FC Supra Du Quebec victory, Hamilton victory, or a tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs at the conclusion of regulation time. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than two weeks away from the original July 5 date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree, though both sources provide valuable signals about the likely outcome of the fixture.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the depth of pending orders at each probability level. As traders enter or exit positions based on breaking news, team news, or injury updates, the price adjusts in real time. This mechanism ensures that the market continuously incorporates new information, making the displayed odds a live consensus estimate of how traders assess the likelihood of each outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result of the fixture. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as odds fluctuate. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the data is confirmed, at which point all positions settle according to the actual outcome.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff. Weather conditions at the venue, recent form and head-to-head records, and any last-minute tactical adjustments can all shift trader sentiment. Social media discussion, expert analysis, and betting syndicates entering or exiting positions may also drive sharp price moves. Early team sheets and warm-up reports in the hours before the match often trigger significant repricing as traders update their models with the latest available information.